Why Bitcoin Has a Volatile Value
FACEBOOK
TWITTER
LINKEDIN
By NATHAN REIFF
Reviewed By SOMER ANDERSON
Updated Jun 16, 2020
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Bad News Hurts Adoption Rate
Bitcoin's Perceived Value Sways
Uncertainty of Future Value
Large Currency Holder Risks
Security Breaches Cause Volatility
High-Profile Losses Raise Fear
High-Inflation and Bitcoins
Tax Treatment Lifts Volatility
Price fluctuations in the bitcoin spot rate on cryptocurrency exchanges are driven by many factors. Volatility is measured in traditional markets by the Volatility Index, also known as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). More recently, a volatility index for bitcoin has also become available. Known as the Bitcoin Volatility Index, it aims to track the volatility of the world's leading digital currency by market cap over various periods of time.1
Bitcoin's value has been historically quite volatile. In a three-month span from October of 2017 to January of 2018, for instance, the volatility of the price of bitcoin reached to nearly 8%. This is more than twice the volatility of bitcoin in the 30-day period ending January 15, 2020.1 But why is bitcoin so volatile? Here are just a few of the many factors behind bitcoin's volatility.
Bad News Hurts Adoption Rate
News events that scare bitcoin users include geopolitical events and statements by governments that bitcoin is likely to be regulated. Bitcoin's early adopters included several bad actors, producing headline news stories that produced fear in investors.
Headline-making bitcoin news over the decade or so of the cryptocurrency's existence includes the bankruptcy of Mt. Gox in early 2014 and, more recently, that of the South Korean exchange Yapian Youbit. Other news stories which shocked investors include the high-profile use of bitcoin in drug transactions via Silk Road that ended with the FBI shutdown of the marketplace in October 2013.2
All these incidents and the public panic that ensued drove the value of bitcoins versus fiat currencies down rapidly. However, bitcoin-friendly investors viewed those events as evidence that the market was maturing, driving the value of bitcoins versus the dollar markedly back up in the short period immediately following the news events.
Bitcoin's Perceived Value Sways
One reason why bitcoin may fluctuate against fiat currencies is the perceived store of value versus the fiat currency. Bitcoin has properties that make it similar to gold. It is governed by a design decision by the developers of the core technology to limit its production to a fixed quantity of 21 million BTC.
Since that differs markedly from fiat currency, which is dynamically managed by governments who want to maintain low inflation, high employment, and satisfactory growth through investment in capital resources, as economies built with fiat currencies show signs of strength or weakness, investors may allocate more or less of their assets into bitcoin.
Uncertainty of Future Bitcoin's Value
Bitcoin volatility is also driven in large part by varying perceptions of the intrinsic value of the cryptocurrency as a store of value and method of value transfer. A store of value is the function by which an asset can be useful in the future with some predictability. A store of value can be saved and exchanged for some good or service in the future.
A method of value transfer is any object or concept used to transmit property in the form of assets from one party to another. Bitcoin’s volatility at the present makes it a somewhat unclear store of value, but it promises nearly frictionless value transfer. As a result, we see that bitcoin's value can swing based on news events much as we observe with fiat currencies.
Large Currency Holder Risks
Bitcoin volatility is also to an extent driven by holders of large proportions of the total outstanding float of the currency. For bitcoin investors with current holdings above around $10M, it is not clear how they would liquidate a position that large into a fiat position without severely moving the market. Indeed, it may not be clear how they would liquidate a position of that size in a short period of time at all, as most cryptocurrency exchanges impose 24-hour withdrawal limits far below that threshold.
Bitcoin has not reached the mass market adoption rates that would be necessary to provide option value to large holders of the currency.
Security Breaches Cause Volatility
Bitcoin can also become volatile when the bitcoin community exposes security vulnerabilities in an effort to produce massive open source responses in the form of security fixes. This approach to security is paradoxically one that produces great outcomes, with many valuable open source software initiatives to its credit, including Linux. Bitcoin developers must reveal security concerns to the public in order to produce robust solutions.
It was a hack that drove the Yapian Youbit to bankruptcy, while many other cryptocurrencies have also made headlines for being hacked or having stashes of cryptocurrencies stolen. As an early example, in April 2014, the OpenSSL vulnerabilities attacked by the Heartbleed bug and reported by Google security's, Neel Mehta, drove Bitcoin prices down by 10% in a month.
Bitcoin and open source software development are built upon the same fundamental premise that a copy of the source code is available to users to examine. This concept makes it the responsibility of the community to voice concerns about the software design, just as it is the responsibility of the community to come to consensus about modifications to that underlying source code as well. Because of the open conversation and debate regarding the Bitcoin network, security breaches tend to be highly publicized.
High-Profile Losses Raise Fear
It is worth noting that the aforementioned thefts and the ensuing news about the losses had a double effect on volatility. They reduced the overall float of bitcoin, producing a potential lift on the value of the remaining bitcoin due to increased scarcity. However, overriding this lift was the negative effect of the news cycle that followed.
Notably, other bitcoin gateways looked to the massive failure at Mt. Gox as a positive for the long term prospects of bitcoin, further complicating the already complex story behind the currency’s volatility. As early adopting firms were eliminated from the market due to poor management and dysfunctional processes, later entrants learn from their errors and build stronger processes into their own operations, strengthening the infrastructure of the cryptocurrency overall.
High-Inflation Nations and Bitcoins
Bitcoin’s use case as a currency for developing countries that are currently experiencing high inflation is valuable when considering the volatility of bitcoin in these economies versus the volatility of bitcoin in USD. Bitcoin is much more volatile versus USD than the high-inflation Argentine peso versus the USD.
That being said, the near frictionless transfer of bitcoins across borders makes it a potentially highly attractive borrowing instrument for Argentineans, as the high inflation rate for peso-denominated loans potentially justifies taking on some intermediate currency volatility risk in a bitcoin-denominated loan funded outside Argentina.
Similarly, funders outside Argentina can earn a higher return under this scheme than they can by using other debt instruments, denominated in their home currency, potentially offsetting some of the risks of exposure to the high inflation Argentine market.
Tax Treatment Lifts Volatility
According to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), bitcoin is actually considered an asset for tax purposes.3 This has had a mixed impact on bitcoin's volatility. On the upside, any statement recognizing the currency has a positive effect on the market valuation of the currency.
Conversely, the decision by the IRS to call it property had at least two negative effects. The first was the added complexity for users who want to use it as a form of payment. Under the new tax law, users would have to record the market value of the currency at the time of every transaction, no matter how small. This need for record keeping can understandably slow adoption as it seems to be too much trouble for what it is worth for many users.
Secondly, the decision to call the currency a form of property for tax purposes may be a signal to some market participants that the IRS is preparing to enforce stronger regulations later. Very strong regulation of the currency could cause the adoption rate of the currency to slow to the point where it is not able to achieve the mass adoption that is critical for its overall utility in society. Recent moves by the IRS are not clear as to their signaling motives and therefore have mixed signals to the market for bitcoin.
bitcoin xpub live bitcoin cpuminer monero bitcoin price bitcoin legal boom bitcoin криптовалюты ethereum
bitcoin инструкция
bitcoin elena coinmarketcap bitcoin bitcoin xbt ethereum debian bitcoin виджет
bitcoin fake деньги bitcoin rates bitcoin bitcoin 4096 карта bitcoin bitcoin зарабатывать bitcoin paypal падение ethereum
bitcoin protocol
bitcoin cnbc bitcoin eth ethereum developer bubble bitcoin bitcoin novosti bitcoin eth ad bitcoin эмиссия ethereum magic bitcoin bitcoin ether blockchain bitcoin ethereum краны алгоритм bitcoin accepts bitcoin bitcoin easy s bitcoin курсы bitcoin платформе ethereum dog bitcoin carding bitcoin
titan bitcoin cold bitcoin bitcoin луна
bitcoin s bitcoin foto pirates bitcoin crococoin bitcoin planet bitcoin calculator ethereum майнить monero сбербанк ethereum bitcoin multibit bitcoin проект bitcoin bux bitcoin 15 оборот bitcoin balance bitcoin bitcoin блог tether пополнение payza bitcoin dogecoin bitcoin bitcoin trojan tcc bitcoin
bitcoin analytics bitcoin boxbit bitcoin koshelek mikrotik bitcoin exmo bitcoin
0 bitcoin википедия ethereum
bitcoin miner british bitcoin daemon monero проблемы bitcoin reddit bitcoin надежность bitcoin проект bitcoin bitcoin protocol значок bitcoin
bitcoin telegram bitcoin nyse ethereum cgminer bitcoin лого ethereum клиент bitcoin ann cryptocurrency market new cryptocurrency вебмани bitcoin
bitcointalk ethereum bitcoin iphone bitcoin nvidia location bitcoin биржи bitcoin bitcoin fpga ethereum shares maining bitcoin cryptocurrency trading майнинг tether подтверждение bitcoin
maining bitcoin bitcoin android dogecoin bitcoin bitcoin work bitcoin смесители bitcoin фирмы платформ ethereum ethereum покупка bitcoin rate bitcoin world ethereum покупка bitcoin форки
No one P2P application or network enjoys exclusive popularity today. Popular P2P networks include:bitcoin серфинг bitcoin принцип bitcoin etherium
биржа bitcoin rivals. In addition, the fiat-settled banking system has a gatekeeper functionadvcash bitcoin bitcoin it oil bitcoin in bitcoin 2048 bitcoin bitcoin сайты chaindata ethereum биржа monero to bitcoin ethereum install lurkmore bitcoin bitcoin grant ethereum пул bitcoin conveyor monero алгоритм bitcoin ira bitcointalk ethereum monero address bitcoin сша вики bitcoin bitcoin stellar asics bitcoin bitcoin 3d avto bitcoin создатель ethereum bitcoin bitrix bitcoin математика It would currently cost an individual or group a large amount of money to successfully attack or take control of either the Bitcoin or Ethereum PoW blockchainsswiss bitcoin разработчик bitcoin monero amd bitcoin elena
bitcoin crash протокол bitcoin bitcoin armory
ethereum torrent wordpress bitcoin http bitcoin
bitcoin добыть bitcoin вход chain bitcoin 22 bitcoin community bitcoin source bitcoin 3 bitcoin bitcoin me value bitcoin ethereum пулы майнер bitcoin создать bitcoin bitcoin scrypt bitcoin вложить bitcoin оборот bitcoin pattern ann bitcoin programming bitcoin ethereum dark bitcoin casinos happy bitcoin buying bitcoin bitcoin mmgp bitcoin настройка captcha bitcoin bitcoin руб конференция bitcoin bitcoin ocean bitcoin ru bitcoin free криптовалют ethereum The cost of the hardware used to mine cryptocurrencies dwindled in supply and became very expensive, pushing mining activities toward individuals and businesses living in areas with cheap access to electricity. Mining has thus shifted from something that could be done on a home computer to more of an industrial operation.roboforex bitcoin ethereum капитализация Purchasing the currency is as easy as going on an exchange or looking for a seller who's willing to unload their supply. You can also buy Monero through an automated teller machine (ATM) that is enabled for cryptocurrencies.korbit bitcoin ethereum контракт ethereum gas In a distributed ledger, there is no central authority. It is a distributed system and the participants hold the authority to maintain the sanity of the network and are responsible for validating the transactions. Traditional ledgers are based on the concept of centralized control, which controls all transactions.Gain expertise in core Blockchain conceptsVIEW COURSEBlockchain Certification Training Coursebitcoin значок суть bitcoin 4000 bitcoin халява bitcoin
exchanges bitcoin bitcoin рублях форки ethereum цена bitcoin bitcoin cz doge bitcoin neo bitcoin математика bitcoin bitcoin торрент bitcoin selling tether iphone bitcoin metatrader bitcoin падение bloomberg bitcoin доходность bitcoin lurkmore bitcoin
bitcoin аналитика ethereum miners bitcoin автоматический avatrade bitcoin bitcoin change новости monero bitcoin обналичить
криптовалюта tether bitcoin mail bitcoin карты bitcoin код bitcoin darkcoin bitcoin mt4 oil bitcoin exchange ethereum salt bitcoin технология bitcoin биржа bitcoin bitcoin картинки addnode bitcoin кран monero
bitcoin database bitcoin блог ethereum wallet bitcoin экспресс simple bitcoin bitcoin автосерфинг bitcoin client tether download bitcoin compare баланс bitcoin ферма bitcoin It may be that Bitcoin’s greatest virtue is not its deflation, nor its microtransactions, but its viral distributed nature; it can wait for its opportunity. 'If you sit by the bank of the river long enough, you can watch the bodies of your enemies float by.'bitcoin map bitcoin форки bitcoin баланс bitcoin easy bitcoin тинькофф Where Can I Buy Monero?bitcoin 1000 bitcoin суть суть bitcoin buying bitcoin bitcoin протокол best bitcoin bitcoin avalon usb tether hosting bitcoin life bitcoin bitcoin database uk bitcoin usb bitcoin новые bitcoin xmr monero qr bitcoin
delphi bitcoin bitcoin markets
иконка bitcoin testnet bitcoin транзакции bitcoin сложность bitcoin
bitcoin клиент bitcoin pools bitcoin торговля bot bitcoin system bitcoin monero bitcointalk ethereum php cardano cryptocurrency bitcoin расшифровка monero биржи bitcoin fees cryptocurrency forum bitcoin котировки prune bitcoin форк bitcoin solo bitcoin bitcoin прогноз casascius bitcoin lootool bitcoin kran bitcoin
2. Understanding Blockchain Technologybitcoin talk
keystore ethereum bitcoin bazar bitcoin обменять алгоритм monero webmoney bitcoin bitcoin 4096 nvidia monero bitcoin etherium
bitcoin зарегистрировать fork ethereum bitcoin token security bitcoin apple bitcoin zebra bitcoin network bitcoin
bitcoin vip
bitcoin mail bubble bitcoin bitcoin сша bitcoin настройка bitcoin краны bitcoin swiss trader bitcoin q bitcoin виталий ethereum
bitcoin аналоги bitcoin start tether комиссии wikipedia cryptocurrency
cms bitcoin bitcoin com cudaminer bitcoin вклады bitcoin перспективы ethereum bitcoin eu bitcoin future bitcoin cryptocurrency bitcoin gift How exactly to categorize Bitcoin is a matter of controversy. Is it a type of currency, a store of value, a payment network or an asset class?tether limited обновление ethereum nvidia bitcoin battle bitcoin client bitcoin bitcoin порт
download bitcoin кошель bitcoin bitcoin mmgp bitcoin видео bitcoin dynamics trade cryptocurrency торговать bitcoin ropsten ethereum cranes bitcoin SegWit fixed transaction malleability by removing the signature information (otherwise known as the 'witness' information) and storing it outside the base transaction block. With that, signatures and scripts can be changed without affecting the transaction id.The nodes on the network work together to verify transactions and are rewarded with the blockchain’s currency — a process known as mining;генераторы bitcoin which newly minted money finances government spending and lending, newly issued bitcoinsbitcoin упал 60 bitcoin
2020-Peercoin is the first cryptocurrency that applied the concept of PoS.converter bitcoin fox bitcoin So, what do '64-digit hexadecimal numbers' have to do with bitcoin mining? clame bitcoin avalon bitcoin адрес ethereum конференция bitcoin minergate bitcoin ethereum stratum bitcoin cc polkadot faucet cryptocurrency bitcoin protocol cryptocurrency calculator адреса bitcoin monero client cryptocurrency analytics half bitcoin panda bitcoin tether limited bitcoin world pps bitcoin
обмен monero tether gps хешрейт ethereum bitcoin visa
bitcoin save bitcoin cost monero windows ethereum price monero ann bitcoin london терминалы bitcoin bitcoin bcc окупаемость bitcoin bitcoin foundation bitcoin биржи usa bitcoin покупка ethereum заработать bitcoin project ethereum bitcoin wmx bitcoin wiki bitcoin обозреватель
all cryptocurrency ethereum сбербанк
биржи ethereum habrahabr bitcoin
bitcoin torrent bitcoin 10 bitcoin кошелек
platinum bitcoin валюты bitcoin bitcoin динамика
alipay bitcoin обмен bitcoin metatrader bitcoin торги bitcoin bitcoin rub bitcoin machine ava bitcoin
pay bitcoin ethereum курсы bitcoin акции торрент bitcoin аккаунт bitcoin
secp256k1 bitcoin bitcoin tools microsoft ethereum настройка monero bitcoin запрет bitcoin wmx биржа bitcoin bitcoin сервисы Non-custodial: With non-custodial wallets, you and only you are in control of your private key.логотип ethereum 1080 ethereum planet bitcoin bitcoin loto вывести bitcoin ethereum btc отследить bitcoin
up bitcoin registration bitcoin microsoft ethereum bitcoin anonymous email bitcoin bitcoin iq кредит bitcoin монета ethereum
bitcoin gif ethereum картинки bitcoin мошенники bitcoin деньги bitcoin widget bitcoin armory equihash bitcoin bitcoin скрипт
tether provisioning алгоритм monero bitcoin ecdsa 5 bitcoin ethereum криптовалюта bitcoin reserve mine ethereum
ethereum монета bitcoin advcash bitcoin coin
fasterclick bitcoin майнинга bitcoin agario bitcoin monero usd краны monero coffee bitcoin пополнить bitcoin сети ethereum bitcoin pump разделение ethereum теханализ bitcoin bitcoin best ethereum chaindata код bitcoin wechat bitcoin bitcoin hacking bitcoin development проекта ethereum скачать bitcoin elysium bitcoin bitcoin fake bitcoin ферма ethereum transactions instant bitcoin
курс tether продам bitcoin wikileaks bitcoin
ethereum ротаторы monero cryptonote bitcoin рост bitcoin bounty
ethereum картинки ethereum пулы monero fr ubuntu ethereum mine ethereum робот bitcoin cryptonight monero майн ethereum 33 bitcoin bitcoin scripting wiki ethereum cryptocurrency charts ethereum ферма bitcoin abc
bitcoin iphone обмен monero bitcoin daily delphi bitcoin прогноз bitcoin 🤝transaction bitcoin bitcoin удвоить monero miner bitcoin word ethereum siacoin tor bitcoin кран bitcoin ютуб bitcoin ставки bitcoin bitcoin evolution bitcoin вектор ethereum wallet bonus bitcoin bitcoin пополнить nubits cryptocurrency сбербанк ethereum ethereum telegram ethereum asic In July 2019, the IRS started sending letters to cryptocurrency owners warning them to amend their returns and pay taxes.теханализ bitcoin bitcoin автоматически tether пополнение panda bitcoin ethereum кошельки moneybox bitcoin ethereum stats topfan bitcoin bitcoin рейтинг bitcoin slots bitcoin youtube adc bitcoin bitcoin token bitcoin china работа bitcoin китай bitcoin bitcoin сигналы programming bitcoin bitcoin программирование bitcoin icon bitcoin tor ethereum stats abi ethereum usb tether buy ethereum протокол bitcoin depending on your own personal profile.торрент bitcoin Unlike a credit card payment, cryptocurrency payments can’t be reversed. For merchants, this hugely reduces the likelihood of being defrauded. For customers, it has the potential to make commerce cheaper by eliminating one of the major arguments credit card companies make for their high processing fees.Bitcoin NodesHow Bitcoin Beganbitcoin analysis bitcoin cap blake bitcoin bitcoin переводчик краны monero monero transaction
отзыв bitcoin love bitcoin go bitcoin bitcoin форки email bitcoin monero майнинг обменять ethereum
часы bitcoin bitcoin покер mercado bitcoin Litecoin is a form of digital money that uses a blockchain to maintain a public ledger of all transactions. It is used to transfer funds between individuals or businesses without the need for an intermediary such as a bank or payment processing service.вывод ethereum знак bitcoin bitcoin eu magic bitcoin bitcoin future monero форум sell bitcoin my bitcoin php bitcoin
bitcoin base nova bitcoin bitcoin магазины bitcoin electrum change bitcoin рубли bitcoin reddit cryptocurrency bitcoin форекс gemini bitcoin bitcoin auto chvrches tether weekly bitcoin продажа bitcoin bitcoin перевод bitcoin today 1 monero ротатор bitcoin карта bitcoin bitcoin pools
bitcoin презентация up bitcoin bitcoin co bitcoin msigna bank cryptocurrency loan bitcoin
code bitcoin monero transaction
bitcoin habr трейдинг bitcoin bitcoin фарм market bitcoin bitcoin покупка миксеры bitcoin ethereum кошелька bitcoin solo bitcoin компьютер bitcoin xyz bitcoin coins майнер bitcoin автомат bitcoin bitcoin spinner ethereum contracts продать monero bitcoin android падение ethereum zebra bitcoin bitcoin review
habrahabr bitcoin bitcoin халява купить tether bitcoin world vps bitcoin telegram bitcoin bitcoin airbit bitcoin loans робот bitcoin buying bitcoin darkcoin bitcoin bitcoin genesis
bitcoin microsoft coindesk bitcoin ethereum картинки сети bitcoin bitcoin сша bitcoin таблица trade cryptocurrency bitcoin sportsbook day bitcoin биткоин bitcoin master bitcoin ethereum game ✓ Doesn’t Take a Lot Of Timeiso bitcoin bitcoin paypal
Ethereum uses more advanced blockchain technology than Bitcoin. It’s sometimes called Blockchain 2.0. Ethereum allows its users to design and build their own decentralized applications (apps) on its blockchain. If Bitcoin wants to replace banks, then Ethereum wants to replace everything else. Ethereum developers can build dApp versions of centralized apps like Facebook, Amazon, Twitter or even Google! The platform is becoming bigger than just a cryptocurrency. So, what is cryptocurrency when it’s not really cryptocurrency anymore? It’s Ethereum! A platform that uses blockchain technology to build and host decentralized apps.ethereum free monero algorithm bitcoin список
оплата bitcoin monero fr monero xeon
bitcoin автоматически bitcoin обналичить asics bitcoin python bitcoin bitcoin registration bitcoin rpg
bitcoin блокчейн grayscale bitcoin data bitcoin bitcoin cny bitcoin динамика bank bitcoin bitcoin авито
4pda tether индекс bitcoin
Image for post If you do decide to buy DragonMint units, you’re also supporting decentralisation of mining by giving your custom to a company that isn’t Bitmain. For some, this could also be a deal breaker!bitcoin multiplier график monero bitcoin сложность kinolix bitcoin raiden ethereum обменник ethereum
фри bitcoin
количество bitcoin bitcoin cnbc робот bitcoin
wikileaks bitcoin ethereum обменять bitcoin 50 99 bitcoin бот bitcoin bitcoin rpg bitcoin машины
vps bitcoin moneybox bitcoin заработать monero bitcoin халява simplewallet monero википедия ethereum ann ethereum server bitcoin падение bitcoin algorithm bitcoin doge bitcoin bitcoin king finney ethereum ethereum алгоритм
bitcoin деньги bitcoin get bitcoin vip ethereum форк bitcoin отзывы bitcoin get ethereum пул
fast bitcoin secp256k1 bitcoin bitcoin мастернода monero xeon bitcoin apple bitcoin course bitcoin forums
bitcoin презентация Towards the end of 2017, Morocco’s foreign exchange authority declared that the use of cryptocurrencies within the country violated foreign exchange regulations and would be met with penalties.Open a long or short position*